The Peterson question depends on whether you play in a points-per-reception league. If so, Maurice Jones-Drew and possibly Matt Forte are also contenders. If not, I do think he's this season's clear #1 pick. Maybe not as clear as some #1 picks of seasons past, but in a season like this one, where you could make a case for taking Chris Johnson at #2, he's as clear a #1 as there is going to be. Part of this, though, is inertia. Peterson was a very highly touted prospect coming out of high school and college. As we've learned from football's other grand stab at rankings (college football), once you start out highly ranked, you get the benefit of the doubt until you do something to lose, or don't do enough to maintain, that ranking. Peterson still has the benefit of the doubt--in my mind and in general.
Tomlinson is potentially a third rounder. People may still reach for him the way they reached for Shaun Alexander before him, and like Alexander, he may reward them off and on. But he could be this year's Joseph Addai (who is himself potentially a fifth rounder).
Brady, on the other hand, still has plenty of mileage left and a team deeply commited to bringing back the Tom Brady Air Show. The question is simply how long until we can all feel secure, under the circumstances, about that knee. The staph infection didn't help. But if Belichick is comfortable riding with him (and shipping Cassel), so am I.
Nevertheless, my sentimental pick is Brees since he won me a league championship. Which means Will will draft him in Round 2 just to spite me. (Rest assured, the Theft of Patrick Willis of 2008 has not been forgotten.)
Speaking of which, why hasn't everyone jumped on board with individual defensive players? Playing in an IDP league is akin to driving standard. Once you learn how to do it, you wonder how you ever called what you previously did driving/fantasy football.
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